Happy Valley · 2022-03-23 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-23 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. TRIPLE TRIPLE, ridden by B Shinn and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with STORMTROUPER second and STREET SCREAM third. The 2.4 favourite EXCELLENT PEERS finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP/TT1 1.11.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 1 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | STORMTROUPER TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 2 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | STREET SCREAM B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SEE U AGAIN J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 6 | 5.5 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | SHADOW RUNNER TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 30.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | WINS ALL TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 12 | 61.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 5 | 2.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | WIND SPEEDER V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 4 | 30.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | MIRACLE VICTORY TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 7 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY V A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 23.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | CONCERTO TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 3 | 89.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPER KINGDOM B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 8 | 53.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 21.5% | 4.66 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | SEE U AGAIN | 17.4% | 5.76 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 11.6% | 8.60 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | WIND SPEEDER | 9.0% | 11.08 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | MIRACLE VICTORY | 8.6% | 11.64 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | STORMTROUPER | 8.2% | 12.19 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY | 7.9% | 12.69 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | STREET SCREAM | 4.9% | 20.43 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | SHADOW RUNNER | 4.7% | 21.27 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER KINGDOM | 2.7% | 37.11 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | WINS ALL | 2.0% | 48.93 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | CONCERTO | 1.5% | 67.04 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 48
PLACE
2 28.5
4 17
7 39
QUINELLA
2,4 221
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 65.5
2,7 152
4,7 103.5
FORECAST
4,2 384
TIERCE
4,2,7 3,905
TRIO
2,4,7 684
FIRST 4
2,4,6,7 583
QUARTET
4,2,7,6 13,713
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 25
A3 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
4,12/2 80.5
4,12/4 350.5