Happy Valley · 2022-03-23 · 19:48
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-23 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SAVVY DELIGHT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with OVERSUBSCRIBED second and VAMOS third. The 2.1 favourite PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT 0.58.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 7.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 2 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | VAMOS H1 A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 4 | 23.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | GORGEOUS VITALITY C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 9.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN H/SR/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 10 | 2.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | STRIVE FOR GLORY B-/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 8 | 43.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER CLASS B L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 6 | 7.8 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | TRAVEL DATUK B M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 11 | 80.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | SUPER AXIOM H/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 9 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | TSUEN WAN GLORY B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 12 | 69.0 | 7 |
| — | 11 | MULTIMORE K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN | 21.5% | 4.65 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 19.5% | 5.13 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 16.3% | 6.13 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 15.2% | 6.57 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 11.0% | 9.07 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER AXIOM | 4.8% | 20.82 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 2.8% | 35.21 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | VAMOS | 2.8% | 36.29 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 2.6% | 38.78 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | SUPER CLASS | 1.9% | 52.70 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | TRAVEL DATUK | 1.6% | 64.39 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 73
PLACE
2 17.5
6 22
9 51.5
QUINELLA
2,6 272
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 81
2,9 208
6,9 200
FORECAST
2,6 446
TIERCE
2,6,9 5,236
TRIO
2,6,9 1,323
FIRST 4
2,6,7,9 1,910
QUARTET
2,6,9,7 37,830
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
7/2 1,640.5
7/6 620.5
3 PICK 1
A1 16.5
A2 —
A3 —