Happy Valley · 2022-04-20 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT 1.49.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | GREAT TIMES Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 12 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION Closed strongly H/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 1 | 8.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 4 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Closed strongly B Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 5 | 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | ORIENTAL AMIGO V C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 10 | 91.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR B H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 2 | 7.5 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING FACE SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 6 | 6.2 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | STRATHMORETOO B L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 9 | 45.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR B/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 11 | 28.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | WONDERFUL FANTASY Led early B A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 3 | 51.0 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-20 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. DIAMOND STAR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 2, with GREAT TIMES second and LOYAL AMBITION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite SPEED FORCE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 28.7% | 3.48 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 18.2% | 5.51 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 11.8% | 8.48 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK | 11.6% | 8.65 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 6.8% | 14.62 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 5.8% | 17.20 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 5.2% | 19.09 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | GREAT TIMES | 3.3% | 30.38 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 2.9% | 34.85 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 2.4% | 42.25 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | WONDERFUL FANTASY | 1.8% | 56.28 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | STRATHMORETOO | 1.6% | 64.37 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 47
PLACE
2 24.5
7 18
11 69
QUINELLA
7,11 652
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 71
2,11 270
7,11 204
FORECAST
7,11 1,599
TIERCE
7,11,2 9,795
TRIO
2,7,11 1,461
FIRST 4
1,2,7,11 4,549
QUARTET
7,11,2,1 98,577
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 23.5
A3 —