Happy Valley · 2022-04-20 · 22:53
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GORYTUS Closed strongly XB/TT 1.39.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 7 | 27.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING AWARD Closed strongly H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 3 | 2.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SKY Led early H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 15.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 1 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly B/XB/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 11 | 8.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LOYAL BABY TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 49.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | RED MAJESTY B/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 10 | 31.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 8 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | DR WINNING TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 7.1 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | ODE TO JOY B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 74.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-20 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GORYTUS, ridden by K H Chan and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with PACKING AWARD second and CALIFORNIA SKY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite PACKING AWARD finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING AWARD | 20.8% | 4.82 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 17.9% | 5.59 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 14.0% | 7.15 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SKY | 10.6% | 9.47 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | DR WINNING | 10.2% | 9.79 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 8.9% | 11.26 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 5.5% | 18.17 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 4.1% | 24.31 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | GORYTUS | 3.5% | 28.28 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE | 2.5% | 39.66 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | ODE TO JOY | 2.0% | 49.32 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 271.5
PLACE
2 59.5
6 13
10 40.5
QUINELLA
2,6 312.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 113
2,10 478
6,10 68.5
FORECAST
2,6 1,255
TIERCE
2,6,10 12,984
TRIO
2,6,10 1,027
FIRST 4
2,6,7,10 2,326
QUARTET
2,6,10,7 86,242
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 38.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
12>1,4,5/2,6,10 30,576
8TH DOUBLE
1/2 1,084
1/6 20
SIX UP
1,10/11,12/3,10/4,9/1,4,5/2,6 3,357
1/11/10/4/1/2 1,964,932
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
4/1/2 4,279
4/1/6 101