Happy Valley · 2022-04-20 · 19:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-20 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. NAMJONG SINGS, ridden by A Badel and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with RISING FROM ASHES second and NEVER TOO SOON third. The 3.9 favourite NEVER TOO SOON finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | NAMJONG SINGS B 1.09.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 1 | 4.5 | N |
| 2 | 9 | RISING FROM ASHES H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 5.3 | N |
| 3 | 7 | NEVER TOO SOON TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 3.9 | N |
| 4 | 6 | WILD WEST WING V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 5.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | MERIDIAN GENIUS L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 7 | 9.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | FAULDS XB/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 10 | 7.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | PRANCE DRAGON B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 9 | 23.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | COLOURFUL BARON TT1 R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 8 | 52.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 27.9% | 3.58 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 23.5% | 4.26 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | NEVER TOO SOON | 9.4% | 10.59 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | NAMJONG SINGS | 8.5% | 11.78 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | RISING FROM ASHES | 7.1% | 13.99 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | WILD WEST WING | 6.3% | 15.85 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | FAULDS | 5.7% | 17.66 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | PRANCE DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.52 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | COLOURFUL BARON | 3.5% | 28.81 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 3.4% | 29.32 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 45.5
PLACE
3 16.5
7 17
9 21
QUINELLA
3,9 143
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 36
3,9 51.5
7,9 52
FORECAST
3,9 353
TIERCE
3,9,7 1,185
TRIO
3,7,9 174
FIRST 4
3,6,7,9 660
QUARTET
3,9,7,6 15,663
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/3 201
5/9 53.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 24.5
A3 —