Happy Valley · 2022-04-20 · 22:19
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 6 | 5.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | BIG TWO H/SR/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 9 | 2.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly P/XB M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 10 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 4 | 7.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE CP L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 5 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARIZARD B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 3 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BULLETPROOF Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 7 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 64.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Led early H/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 8 | 45.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MR ALDAN B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 2 | 30.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | WIN CHARM A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. PACKING FAMOUS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with BIG TWO second and AMAZING NEWS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite BIG TWO finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS | 25.5% | 3.93 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BIG TWO | 18.9% | 5.30 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 9.8% | 10.16 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE | 9.5% | 10.51 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | MR ALDAN | 9.2% | 10.84 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 8.0% | 12.51 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR | 6.5% | 15.33 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS | 4.8% | 20.89 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 3.3% | 30.04 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 2.7% | 36.91 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 1.7% | 57.44 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 58
PLACE
1 20
4 12.5
12 27.5
QUINELLA
1,4 76
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 30.5
1,12 99
4,12 49.5
FORECAST
1,4 184
TIERCE
1,4,12 1,594
TRIO
1,4,12 237
FIRST 4
1,4,6,12 724
QUARTET
1,4,12,6 13,884
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 27.5
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/1 295.5
4/4,5 32.5