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Happy Valley · 2022-04-20 · 19:16

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.40.03
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B 1.40.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So 2 5.3 1
2 0 REACH GOAL Closed strongly TT K C Leung · R Gibson 11 78.0 1
3 0 OUR CREED V Z Purton · K H Ting 9 9.1 1-1/4
4 0 ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly V/TT B Shinn · C Fownes 7 7.2 1-3/4
5 0 FOXHUNTER WAY H/SR A Badel · K W Lui 1 5.9 2-1/2
6 0 CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR A Hamelin · D A Hayes 12 11.0 2-3/4
7 0 OUR CLASS ACT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui 3 36.0 4-3/4
8 0 MAKE IT TURBO B1 L Currie · D J Hall 8 47.0 4-3/4
9 0 METHANE B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 5 8.3 5-1/2
10 0 JADE PHOENIX Led early CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor 6 3.4 6
11 0 SPICY SKEWER CP C L Chau · K L Man 4 91.0 6-1/4
12 0 REGENCY MASTER B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 10 27.0 8-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. COPARTNER ERA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 1, with REACH GOAL second and OUR CREED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite JADE PHOENIX finished 10th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COPARTNER ERA—2. REACH GOAL+1L3. OUR CREED+1.25L4. ROYAL PRIDE+1.75L5. FOXHUNTER WAY+2.5L6. CHATER PINS+2.75L7. OUR CLASS ACT+4.75L8. MAKE IT TURBO+4.75L9. METHANE+5.5L10. JADE PHOENIX+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick JADE PHOENIX (20.6%) finished 10th — the winner COPARTNER ERA was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 JADE PHOENIX 20.6% 4.87 10
2 0 OUR CREED 13.9% 7.18 3
3 0 ROYAL PRIDE 13.8% 7.22 4
4 0 FOXHUNTER WAY 11.9% 8.42 5
5 0 COPARTNER ERA 9.0% 11.13 1
6 0 CHATER PINS 8.6% 11.67 6
7 0 METHANE 8.1% 12.33 9
8 0 MAKE IT TURBO 5.3% 18.81 8
9 0 REGENCY MASTER 3.6% 27.90 12
10 0 SPICY SKEWER 2.6% 37.96 11
11 0 REACH GOAL 1.4% 70.47 2
12 0 OUR CLASS ACT 1.2% 84.42 7
JADE PHOENIXOUR CREEDROYAL PRIDEFOXHUNTER WAYCOPARTNER ERA — wonCHATER PINSMETHANEMAKE IT TURBOREGENCY MASTERSPICY SKEWERREACH GOALOUR CLASS ACT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 53

PLACE

5 16.5

7 124.5

9 32

QUINELLA

5,7 2,163

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 561.5

5,9 80

7,9 975

FORECAST

5,7 3,125

TIERCE

5,7,9 24,314

TRIO

5,7,9 4,599

FIRST 4

2,5,7,9 4,420

QUARTET

5,7,9,2 120,722

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/5 254.5

7/7 552

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 21

A3 —