Happy Valley · 2022-04-20 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. COPARTNER ERA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 1, with REACH GOAL second and OUR CREED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite JADE PHOENIX finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B 1.40.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 2 | 5.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | REACH GOAL Closed strongly TT K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 11 | 78.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | OUR CREED V Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 9 | 9.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly V/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 7 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY H/SR A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 1 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 12 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | OUR CLASS ACT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 3 | 36.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | MAKE IT TURBO B1 L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 8 | 47.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | METHANE B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | JADE PHOENIX Led early CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 3.4 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | SPICY SKEWER CP C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 91.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | REGENCY MASTER B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 27.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JADE PHOENIX | 20.6% | 4.87 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | OUR CREED | 13.9% | 7.18 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | ROYAL PRIDE | 13.8% | 7.22 | 4 |
| 4 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 11.9% | 8.42 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | COPARTNER ERA | 9.0% | 11.13 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | CHATER PINS | 8.6% | 11.67 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | METHANE | 8.1% | 12.33 | 9 |
| 8 | 10 | MAKE IT TURBO | 5.3% | 18.81 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | REGENCY MASTER | 3.6% | 27.90 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | SPICY SKEWER | 2.6% | 37.96 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | REACH GOAL | 1.4% | 70.47 | 2 |
| 12 | 4 | OUR CLASS ACT | 1.2% | 84.42 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 53
PLACE
5 16.5
7 124.5
9 32
QUINELLA
5,7 2,163
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 561.5
5,9 80
7,9 975
FORECAST
5,7 3,125
TIERCE
5,7,9 24,314
TRIO
5,7,9 4,599
FIRST 4
2,5,7,9 4,420
QUARTET
5,7,9,2 120,722
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/5 254.5
7/7 552
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 21
A3 —