Happy Valley · 2022-04-20 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-04-20 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SMART IDEA, ridden by H Bentley and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with STORMTROUPER second and HAPPY SHARING third. The 3.4 favourite MAGIC PHOENIX finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SMART IDEA H/TT 1.09.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 6.0 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | STORMTROUPER TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 6.8 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | HAPPY SHARING TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 3 | 8.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 2 | 26.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 7 | 3.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SCOTCH TYCOON H K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 8 | 5.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | EXUBERANT B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 9 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | ESCAPE ROUTE H V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.7 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | SUNSET WATCH B2/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 10 | 59.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 23.1% | 4.33 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | YO BEAUTY | 16.4% | 6.11 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 15.5% | 6.44 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | STORMTROUPER | 12.7% | 7.86 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | SMART IDEA | 12.2% | 8.21 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | HAPPY SHARING | 7.6% | 13.19 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 4.5% | 22.28 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 3.7% | 26.93 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | EXUBERANT | 3.0% | 32.88 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | SUNSET WATCH | 1.3% | 77.13 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 60
PLACE
4 19.5
9 19.5
10 23.5
QUINELLA
4,9 192
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 67
4,10 74.5
9,10 100.5
FORECAST
4,9 402
TIERCE
4,9,10 3,536
TRIO
4,9,10 539
FIRST 4
3,4,9,10 2,014
QUARTET
4,9,10,3 36,502
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,10/4,9,10 123,656
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 28.5
6TH DOUBLE
10/4 390.5
10/9 78.5
TRIPLE TRIO
10,11,12/2,3,10/4,9,10 4,072,507
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
10,11,12/2,3,10/Any Combination 35,514