Happy Valley · 2022-07-06 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly TT 1.40.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA Closed strongly CP/TT1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 7.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT C L Chau · J Size | C L Chau | J Size | 7 | 6.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SEA MONARCH M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 7.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | U W BROTHER Led early A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 10 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ZACIAN C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 1 | 5.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | 4 | 29.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 9 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CABLE SPEED P-/H1/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 8 | 55.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | MISTER MONTE B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 5 | 9.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GARLIC HERO E/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 12.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | DASHING GENIUS B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 3 | 29.0 | 18 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-06 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TAILOR MADE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 1, with THIS IS CHARISMA second and DIAMOND STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 20.0% | 5.01 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 18.2% | 5.48 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | ZACIAN | 10.6% | 9.47 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | DASHING GENIUS | 10.5% | 9.52 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | SEA MONARCH | 9.5% | 10.58 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | MISTER MONTE | 7.8% | 12.89 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 7.3% | 13.78 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | JOY MASTER | 4.4% | 22.58 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | GARLIC HERO | 3.8% | 26.06 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY | 3.4% | 29.45 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | CABLE SPEED | 2.4% | 41.89 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | U W BROTHER | 2.2% | 45.06 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 37.5
PLACE
1 17
5 21
10 23.5
QUINELLA
1,10 192
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 48.5
1,10 64
5,10 76.5
FORECAST
1,10 303
TIERCE
1,10,5 984
TRIO
1,5,10 227
FIRST 4
1,5,10,11 382
QUARTET
1,10,5,11 6,948
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 24
A3 —