Happy Valley · 2022-07-06 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COMPASSION SUPER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with TRIUMPHANT RETURN second and YOUNG VICTORY third. The 3.2 favourite DOUBLE SHOW finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | COMPASSION SUPER 1.10.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN H-/XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 30.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 5 | 7.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | OUR CLASS ACT P-/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 6 | 95.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | LESLIE B J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 12 | 4.6 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | HARDLY SWEARS C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 11 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | ROYAL PRIDE V/TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | SPICY GRILL B/TT K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 10 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | ENCORE TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 62.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | BRILLIANT EIGHT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 51.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | HAPPY HERO B R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 9 | 34.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LESLIE | 24.5% | 4.08 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | DOUBLE SHOW | 21.4% | 4.67 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | COMPASSION SUPER | 13.4% | 7.47 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY | 9.3% | 10.78 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | ROYAL PRIDE | 8.1% | 12.42 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | SPICY GRILL | 7.0% | 14.25 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | HARDLY SWEARS | 4.9% | 20.42 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPY HERO | 4.2% | 23.62 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | ENCORE | 2.6% | 38.31 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN | 2.2% | 46.22 | 2 |
| 11 | 12 | OUR CLASS ACT | 1.7% | 58.33 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | BRILLIANT EIGHT | 0.7% | 135.03 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 46.5
PLACE
6 81.5
7 18.5
10 23.5
QUINELLA
6,7 994.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 266.5
6,10 322.5
7,10 61.5
FORECAST
7,6 1,154
TIERCE
7,6,10 8,206
TRIO
6,7,10 1,984
FIRST 4
6,7,8,10 951
QUARTET
7,6,10,8 26,753
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 25
A3 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/6 260
6/7 267