Happy Valley · 2022-07-06 · 22:53
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-06 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. CLASSIC UNICORN, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with ROCK YA HEART second and HANDSOME BO BO third. Victory came as the 4.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT 0.56.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 4.8 | HD |
| 2 | 9 | ROCK YA HEART TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 15.0 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO TT L Currie · C S Shum | L Currie | C S Shum | 1 | 9.5 | N |
| 4 | 12 | SPECIAL M B-/PC1/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 8.3 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | MCLUCKY SR C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS SR/XB B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SCORES OF FUN P-/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 42.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 3 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | METRO WARRIOR B C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 12 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 7.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | STOLTZ CP Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 4.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | LUCKY MORE CP/XB A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 40.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STOLTZ | 20.9% | 4.79 | 11 |
| 2 | 10 | RUN RUN COOL | 18.2% | 5.50 | 10 |
| 3 | 12 | SPECIAL M | 15.8% | 6.33 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | ROCK YA HEART | 7.4% | 13.52 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | METRO WARRIOR | 6.7% | 14.97 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | MCLUCKY | 5.5% | 18.08 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 5.5% | 18.31 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 4.6% | 21.67 | 1 |
| 9 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO | 4.3% | 23.02 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | WE THE SOUTH | 4.1% | 24.10 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | LUCKY MORE | 3.8% | 26.03 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | SCORES OF FUN | 3.1% | 32.17 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 48.5
PLACE
2 30
8 18.5
9 46.5
QUINELLA
8,9 461.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 85
2,9 243.5
8,9 150.5
FORECAST
8,9 1,052
TIERCE
8,9,2 7,169
TRIO
2,8,9 998
FIRST 4
2,8,9,12 2,818
QUARTET
8,9,2,12 69,918
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 18
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,7/2,8,9 1,132,997
8TH DOUBLE
7/8 407.5
7/9 251.5
SIX UP
2,9/3,6/6,7/4,9/5,7/8,9 10,240
9/6/7/4/7/8 287,043
6 [M Chadwick] —
TREBLE
4/7/8 1,184
4/7/9 817