Happy Valley · 2022-07-06 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-06 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. HYPERION TREE, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-1/2, with WONDER YEARS second and LEGION OF MERIT third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HYPERION TREE Wire to wire B 2.16.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 3.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 2 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 9 | 9.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | GO BALLISTIC SR/TT M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 1 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 6.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE H-/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 5 | 66.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | PASSING FASHION XB/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 6 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM B/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | SUN OF MAKFI XB L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 8 | 12.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 18.0 | 21-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HYPERION TREE | 16.7% | 5.99 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | WONDER YEARS | 16.6% | 6.03 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | SUN OF MAKFI | 15.9% | 6.27 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | KOWLOON GREAT | 15.0% | 6.65 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | GOLDEN SPECTRUM | 9.4% | 10.66 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | LEGION OF MERIT | 7.4% | 13.46 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | PASSING FASHION | 6.0% | 16.76 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 4.8% | 20.71 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | VINCY | 4.2% | 23.62 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | GO BALLISTIC | 3.0% | 33.74 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE | 0.9% | 105.31 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 36
PLACE
6 17
7 15.5
8 42.5
QUINELLA
6,7 64
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 28
6,8 124.5
7,8 98.5
FORECAST
7,6 113
TIERCE
7,6,8 1,482
TRIO
6,7,8 326
FIRST 4
2,6,7,8 581
QUARTET
7,6,8,2 9,340
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/6 18
1/7 140.5
3 PICK 1
A1 19
A3 —
A2 —