Happy Valley · 2022-07-06 · 20:16
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-06 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. MOMENTUM GALAXY, ridden by H Bentley and trained by K H Ting, won by HD, with SERGEANT PEPPER second and FABULOUS EIGHT third. The 2.8 favourite SERGEANT PEPPER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B 0.56.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 4 | 12.0 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | SERGEANT PEPPER M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 2 | 2.8 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | FABULOUS EIGHT B/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.4 | N |
| 4 | 6 | TIMESTORM XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIA FOREST H/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 3 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | DOUBLE SIX POP TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 7.1 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER CLASS XB H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 9 | 37.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | VIVA MAMA CP/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 7 | 8.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | FINGERS CROSSED TT1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 32.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | PRECIOUS CHOICE TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 24.0 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 5 | SEE U AGAIN Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 28.1% | 3.56 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | DOUBLE SIX POP | 16.5% | 6.05 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 13.8% | 7.23 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | VIVA MAMA | 11.2% | 8.89 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | TIMESTORM | 10.1% | 9.87 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | PRECIOUS CHOICE | 5.9% | 16.84 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | FINGERS CROSSED | 5.4% | 18.48 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 3.3% | 30.47 | 1 |
| 9 | 1 | CALIFORNIA FOREST | 3.3% | 30.53 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | SUPER CLASS | 2.3% | 43.55 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 120.5
PLACE
2 13.5
4 12.5
9 28
QUINELLA
2,9 200.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 20.5
2,9 70
4,9 64
FORECAST
9,2 485
TIERCE
9,2,4 1,350
TRIO
2,4,9 136
FIRST 4
2,4,6,9 292
QUARTET
9,2,4,6 9,734
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 29
3RD DOUBLE
1/2 28.5
1/9 660