Happy Valley · 2022-07-06 · 20:46
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WIND SPEEDER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1/2, with HARMONY N HOME second and GEM OF SOUTH CHINA third. The 4.5 favourite LORIZ finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WIND SPEEDER 1.09.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 4 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 5.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | GEM OF SOUTH CHINA M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 24.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | TOUCH FAITH Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 9.9 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | FAST PACE H/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 5 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | LORIZ V- L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 8 | 4.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP/TT B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 11 | 8.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | ISLAND SURPRISE B2/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 5.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | WIN WIN CHARITY H1/XB1/TT1 R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 6 | 53.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | NOIR RIDER B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 38.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | FARSHAD CP J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 9 | 10.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TOUCH FAITH | 15.4% | 6.48 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME | 14.1% | 7.07 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | FARSHAD | 13.8% | 7.23 | 11 |
| 4 | 11 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 11.6% | 8.65 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | WIND SPEEDER | 11.3% | 8.83 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 8.8% | 11.33 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | LORIZ | 8.3% | 12.00 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | WIN WIN CHARITY | 5.9% | 17.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | FAST PACE | 4.3% | 23.35 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | GEM OF SOUTH CHINA | 4.1% | 24.14 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | NOIR RIDER | 2.2% | 44.72 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 52.5
PLACE
3 19
4 77.5
6 19.5
QUINELLA
3,6 149
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 300
3,6 47.5
4,6 318.5
FORECAST
6,3 275
TIERCE
6,3,4 6,655
TRIO
3,4,6 1,267
FIRST 4
3,4,6,10 2,065
QUARTET
6,3,4,10 41,691
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,9/3,4,6 10,020
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 27.5
4TH DOUBLE
9/3 94.5
9/6 691