Happy Valley · 2022-07-06 · 19:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-06 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GO FOR TEA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 2, with MISTER ARM second and FLASH FAMOUS third. The winner led throughout. The 3.7 favourite FLASH FAMOUS finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GO FOR TEA Wire to wire 1.40.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 4.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | MISTER ARM M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 9 | 9.9 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 3 | 3.7 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | ORIENTAL AMIGO Closed strongly B-/SR- H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 8 | 47.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | ONE STEP AHEAD Closed strongly J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 2 | 4.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | FOXHUNTER WAY H/SR R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 4 | 8.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR V M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 1 | 14.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | BOYS PARTY Closed strongly B-/XB L Currie · A T Millard | L Currie | A T Millard | 10 | 24.0 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | WONDERFUL TIGER Closed strongly H/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 11 | 15.0 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | SURE WIN WIN B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 13.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | NOBODY KNOWS H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 5 | 69.0 | 21 |
| — | 9 | NOBLE MAN A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 28.8% | 3.48 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | GO FOR TEA | 19.3% | 5.17 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 10.5% | 9.49 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | BOYS PARTY | 9.2% | 10.85 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 7.3% | 13.75 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | MISTER ARM | 6.1% | 16.38 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | FLASH FAMOUS | 6.0% | 16.65 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | SURE WIN WIN | 5.3% | 18.96 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | NOBODY KNOWS | 3.0% | 33.16 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 2.9% | 34.79 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 1.6% | 63.33 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 48.5
PLACE
1 20
6 14.5
7 25
QUINELLA
1,7 280
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 42.5
1,7 116
6,7 62
FORECAST
1,7 514
TIERCE
1,7,6 2,183
TRIO
1,6,7 363
FIRST 4
1,6,7,11 3,705
QUARTET
1,7,6,11 50,924
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
7/1 156
7/7 94
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 32.5