Happy Valley · 2022-07-06 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-06 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PING HAI GALAXY, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with BEAUTY GLORY second and NAMJONG SINGS third. The 3.1 favourite RISING FROM ASHES finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY 1.09.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | BEAUTY GLORY H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 12 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | NAMJONG SINGS B H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | HIGH CLOUD SR/XB R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 1 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | LYRICAL MOTION CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 7.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE B-/TT C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 5 | 9.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | WIND N GRASS TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 10 | 49.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO CP/H L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 7 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | RISING FROM ASHES CP/H/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 9 | 3.1 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | CLASSIC POSH L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 3 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 15.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | THE RUNNER V Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 9.7 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RISING FROM ASHES | 34.8% | 2.87 | 9 |
| 2 | 5 | BEAUTY GLORY | 11.8% | 8.45 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | LYRICAL MOTION | 8.7% | 11.55 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | THE RUNNER | 8.5% | 11.80 | 12 |
| 5 | 6 | CLASSIC POSH | 7.6% | 13.12 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 6.6% | 15.11 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | PING HAI GALAXY | 6.0% | 16.65 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO | 4.2% | 24.08 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | NAMJONG SINGS | 3.9% | 25.66 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | HIGH CLOUD | 3.2% | 31.01 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 2.7% | 37.38 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | WIND N GRASS | 2.0% | 49.65 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 70.5
PLACE
2 42.5
5 38
7 26.5
QUINELLA
5,7 473
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 279
2,7 179.5
5,7 159
FORECAST
7,5 899
TIERCE
7,5,2 10,348
TRIO
2,5,7 2,235
FIRST 4
2,5,7,11 13,289
QUARTET
7,5,2,11 241,321
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 21.5
A2 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/5 82.5
4/7 195.5