Sha Tin · 2022-07-16 · 17:18
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-16 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY SWEYNESSE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/2, with REWARDING TOGETHER second and BE READY third. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE 1.08.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 10 | 3.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 8.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | BE READY V C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | TRILLION WIN B A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 12 | 9.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | CZARSON CP-/B2/TT V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 7 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | JUMBO FORTUNE H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 4.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | MASTER DELIGHT B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | VOYAGE WARRIOR L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.3 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | BLAZE WARRIOR B/TT C L Chau · J Size | C L Chau | J Size | 3 | 9.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 5 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 11 | 87.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY MORE CP/XB K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 6 | 38.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 35.5% | 2.82 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 24.1% | 4.14 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 7.3% | 13.65 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | BE READY | 6.7% | 14.87 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | TRILLION WIN | 5.0% | 20.19 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 4.7% | 21.43 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 4.5% | 22.28 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | MASTER DELIGHT | 3.2% | 30.88 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 3.2% | 31.51 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY MORE | 2.5% | 40.74 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | CZARSON | 2.3% | 43.12 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | GRATEFUL HEART | 1.0% | 100.80 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 35
PLACE
6 15.5
7 27.5
8 46.5
QUINELLA
6,7 152
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 56.5
6,8 105.5
7,8 179
FORECAST
6,7 266
TIERCE
6,7,8 1,991
TRIO
6,7,8 572
FIRST 4
1,6,7,8 1,088
QUARTET
6,7,8,1 14,895
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A3 —
A2 —
9TH DOUBLE
13/6 76
13/7 35.5