Sha Tin · 2022-07-16 · 16:43
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY EIGHT, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with POWER KOEPP second and ADIOS third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | LUCKY EIGHT 1.09.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 10 | 2.1 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | POWER KOEPP E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | ADIOS B-/V1 J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 14 | 5.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | ARMOUR EAGLE B2/TT A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 11 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | WAR WEAPON H/P/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 6 | 8.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | TRANSCENDENT CP-/B1/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 3 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | H Z TOURBILLON TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 8 | 67.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | JAZZ CLUB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 13 | 213.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | SKY FOREVER B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 7 | 36.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | CALL ME TEDDY TT L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 12 | 44.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SOLAR WINDS H1/TT1 K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 2 | 96.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | GLOBAL HARMONY CP Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 7.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | GOLDEN WARSTEED XB1 H Bentley · R Gibson | H Bentley | R Gibson | 9 | 109.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | LUCKY EIGHT | 29.3% | 3.42 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | POWER KOEPP | 14.2% | 7.05 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | ADIOS | 12.0% | 8.35 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | GLOBAL HARMONY | 11.1% | 9.01 | 13 |
| 5 | 2 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 8.6% | 11.61 | 10 |
| 6 | 9 | CALL ME TEDDY | 5.7% | 17.67 | 11 |
| 7 | 14 | WAR WEAPON | 4.9% | 20.26 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | SKY FOREVER | 4.7% | 21.35 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | H Z TOURBILLON | 2.7% | 37.23 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | SOLAR WINDS | 2.2% | 45.41 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 1.7% | 58.16 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | GOLDEN WARSTEED | 1.3% | 74.58 | 14 |
| 13 | 8 | TRANSCENDENT | 1.2% | 81.12 | 6 |
| 14 | 3 | JAZZ CLUB | 0.4% | 249.40 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 21.5
PLACE
1 23.5
10 20.5
13 12.5
QUINELLA
1,13 89
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 70
1,13 38.5
10,13 34
FORECAST
13,1 156
TIERCE
13,1,10 681
TRIO
1,10,13 138
FIRST 4
1,6,10,13 648
QUARTET
13,1,10,6 7,983
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A3 —
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
7/1 46
7/13 56