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Sha Tin · 2022-07-16 · 16:43

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 LUCKY EIGHT 1.09.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu 10 2.1 SH
3 0 ADIOS B-/V1 J Moreira · F C Lor 14 5.7 1
4 0 ARMOUR EAGLE B2/TT A Hamelin · Y S Tsui 11 21.0 1-1/2
5 0 WAR WEAPON H/P/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 6 8.6 1-3/4
6 0 TRANSCENDENT CP-/B1/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 3 25.0 2-1/4
7 0 H Z TOURBILLON TT M Chadwick · C S Shum 8 67.0 4
8 0 JAZZ CLUB C L Chau · K W Lui 13 213.0 4
9 0 SKY FOREVER B/TT M F Poon · K L Man 7 36.0 4-1/4
10 0 EXCELLENT DADDY TT K C Leung · T P Yung 1 19.0 4-1/4
11 0 CALL ME TEDDY TT L Currie · C W Chang 12 44.0 4-3/4
12 0 SOLAR WINDS H1/TT1 K H Chan · C Fownes 2 96.0 4-3/4
13 0 GLOBAL HARMONY CP Z Purton · D A Hayes 5 7.9 5-1/4
14 0 GOLDEN WARSTEED XB1 H Bentley · R Gibson 9 109.0 7-3/4
— 0 POWER KOEPP E A Badel · J Size — 10.0 SH

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY EIGHT, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with ADIOS second and ARMOUR EAGLE third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY EIGHT—3. ADIOS+1L4. ARMOUR EAGLE+1.5L5. WAR WEAPON+1.75L6. TRANSCENDENT+2.25L7. H Z TOURBILLON+4L8. JAZZ CLUB+4L9. SKY FOREVER+4.25L10. EXCELLENT DADDY+4.25L11. CALL ME TEDDY+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick LUCKY EIGHT (29.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LUCKY EIGHT 29.3% 3.42 1
2 0 POWER KOEPP 14.2% 7.05 —
3 0 ADIOS 12.0% 8.35 3
4 0 GLOBAL HARMONY 11.1% 9.01 13
5 0 EXCELLENT DADDY 8.6% 11.61 10
6 0 CALL ME TEDDY 5.7% 17.67 11
7 0 WAR WEAPON 4.9% 20.26 5
8 0 SKY FOREVER 4.7% 21.35 9
9 0 H Z TOURBILLON 2.7% 37.23 7
10 0 SOLAR WINDS 2.2% 45.41 12
11 0 ARMOUR EAGLE 1.7% 58.16 4
12 0 GOLDEN WARSTEED 1.3% 74.58 14
13 0 TRANSCENDENT 1.2% 81.12 6
14 0 JAZZ CLUB 0.4% 249.40 8
LUCKY EIGHT — wonPOWER KOEPPADIOSGLOBAL HARMONYEXCELLENT DADDYCALL ME TEDDYWAR WEAPONSKY FOREVERH Z TOURBILLONSOLAR WINDSARMOUR EAGLEGOLDEN WARSTEEDTRANSCENDENTJAZZ CLUB

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 21.5

PLACE

1 23.5

10 20.5

13 12.5

QUINELLA

1,13 89

QUINELLA PLACE

1,10 70

1,13 38.5

10,13 34

FORECAST

13,1 156

TIERCE

13,1,10 681

TRIO

1,10,13 138

FIRST 4

1,6,10,13 648

QUARTET

13,1,10,6 7,983

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 17

A3 —

8TH DOUBLE

7/1 46

7/13 56