Sha Tin · 2022-07-16 · 15:33
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly TT 1.21.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 7.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | DECRYPT Closed strongly TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 11 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY CHAMP Closed strongly XB/SR1/TT- L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | RED TITAN Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 3.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY FUN Closed strongly TT2 M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 5 | 20.0 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP-/B1/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 3 | 8.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER DYNAMITE M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 2 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | IMPERIAL MAGEE H/TT R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 1 | 9.9 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION CP A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 6.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FLYING BONUS Led early C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 10 | 112.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 8 | 46.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 14 | 67.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | GREAT BRILLIANT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 9 | 107.0 | 16 |
| 14 | 0 | KILINDINI TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 12 | 24.0 | 16-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-16 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. NEVER TOO SOON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 2-3/4, with DECRYPT second and BEAUTY CHAMP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite RED TITAN finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED TITAN | 21.3% | 4.70 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION | 16.1% | 6.22 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | NEVER TOO SOON | 12.6% | 7.92 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 10.3% | 9.75 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 9.8% | 10.18 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | KILINDINI | 8.0% | 12.45 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 4.5% | 22.18 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | DECRYPT | 4.1% | 24.50 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 3.8% | 26.48 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY FUN | 3.5% | 28.30 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY | 2.5% | 40.20 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 2.1% | 47.31 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | FLYING BONUS | 1.1% | 91.48 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | GREAT BRILLIANT | 0.3% | 304.67 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 71
PLACE
4 41
10 38.5
11 27.5
QUINELLA
4,11 527.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 211.5
4,11 163.5
10,11 143
FORECAST
11,4 1,203
TIERCE
11,4,10 11,399
TRIO
4,10,11 1,645
FIRST 4
4,10,11,12 1,983
QUARTET
11,4,10,12 65,303
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 27.5
6TH DOUBLE
10/4 1,128.5
10/11 3,391.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
11,13,14/2,10,11/Any Combination 644,953