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Sha Tin · 2022-07-16 · 15:02

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SINGAPORE SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · A S Cruz 14 35.0 1/2
2 0 STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes 4 11.0 1/2
3 0 AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H K Teetan · L Ho 12 7.1 1/2
4 0 ALL IS GOOD Z Purton · K W Lui 1 3.8 1-1/4
5 0 GANG OF BROTHERS B-/V1 L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan 5 10.0 1-1/2
6 0 ROYAL AGILITY Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · Y S Tsui 7 13.0 1-3/4
7 0 SHINING FORTUNE A Badel · J Size 2 11.0 1-3/4
8 0 SUPER HIGHWAY B/H/TT J Moreira · F C Lor 11 5.0 3-1/2
9 0 HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B C Y Ho · W Y So 8 9.4 4
10 0 BELL OF VICTORY Closed strongly B V Borges · C W Chang 10 97.0 5-1/2
11 0 VICTORY SCHOLARS Led early B2 L Currie · D J Hall 13 31.0 5-3/4
12 0 SEATOSKY H K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 41.0 8
13 0 KASI FARASI TT- C L Chau · C H Yip 9 18.0 8-1/4
14 0 GOLD COMET V M L Yeung · K H Ting 6 111.0 10-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SINGAPORE SPIRIT, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with STAR CONTACT second and AMAZING VICTORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite ALL IS GOOD finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SINGAPORE SPIRIT—2. STAR CONTACT+0.5L3. AMAZING VICTORY+0.5L4. ALL IS GOOD+1.25L5. GANG OF BROTHERS+1.5L6. ROYAL AGILITY+1.75L7. SHINING FORTUNE+1.75L8. SUPER HIGHWAY+3.5L9. HANG'S DECISION+4L10. BELL OF VICTORY+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SHINING FORTUNE (19.3%) finished 7th — the winner SINGAPORE SPIRIT was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SHINING FORTUNE 19.3% 5.17 7
2 0 ALL IS GOOD 17.2% 5.83 4
3 0 SUPER HIGHWAY 16.0% 6.27 8
4 0 GANG OF BROTHERS 11.7% 8.51 5
5 0 STAR CONTACT 7.8% 12.86 2
6 0 AMAZING VICTORY 7.0% 14.20 3
7 0 ROYAL AGILITY 4.1% 24.18 6
8 0 VICTORY SCHOLARS 3.6% 28.14 11
9 0 SEATOSKY 3.5% 28.56 12
10 0 SINGAPORE SPIRIT 3.1% 32.71 1
11 0 HANG'S DECISION 2.7% 37.32 9
12 0 KASI FARASI 2.7% 37.52 13
13 0 GOLD COMET 1.0% 102.90 14
14 0 BELL OF VICTORY 0.4% 236.73 10
SHINING FORTUNEALL IS GOODSUPER HIGHWAYGANG OF BROTHERSSTAR CONTACTAMAZING VICTORYROYAL AGILITYVICTORY SCHOLARSSEATOSKYSINGAPORE SPIRIT — wonHANG'S DECISIONKASI FARASIGOLD COMETBELL OF VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 359

PLACE

2 22.5

10 102

11 37

QUINELLA

10,11 1,963.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,10 413.5

2,11 132.5

10,11 536.5

FORECAST

10,11 3,837

TIERCE

10,11,2 30,579

TRIO

2,10,11 4,424

FIRST 4

2,7,10,11 4,089

QUARTET

10,11,2,7 139,987

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 19

A1 —

5TH DOUBLE

11/10 2,123

11/11 64