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Sha Tin · 2022-07-16 · 15:02

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SINGAPORE SPIRIT, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with STAR CONTACT second and AMAZING VICTORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite ALL IS GOOD finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1.22.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 SINGAPORE SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · A S Cruz 14 35.0 1/2
2 11 STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes 4 11.0 1/2
3 2 AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H K Teetan · L Ho 12 7.1 1/2
4 7 ALL IS GOOD Z Purton · K W Lui 1 3.8 1-1/4
5 4 GANG OF BROTHERS B-/V1 L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan 5 10.0 1-1/2
6 3 ROYAL AGILITY Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · Y S Tsui 7 13.0 1-3/4
7 8 SHINING FORTUNE A Badel · J Size 2 11.0 1-3/4
8 12 SUPER HIGHWAY B/H/TT J Moreira · F C Lor 11 5.0 3-1/2
9 13 HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B C Y Ho · W Y So 8 9.4 4
10 14 BELL OF VICTORY Closed strongly B V Borges · C W Chang 10 97.0 5-1/2
11 1 VICTORY SCHOLARS Led early B2 L Currie · D J Hall 13 31.0 5-3/4
12 6 SEATOSKY H K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 41.0 8
13 5 KASI FARASI TT- C L Chau · C H Yip 9 18.0 8-1/4
14 9 GOLD COMET V M L Yeung · K H Ting 6 111.0 10-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SINGAPORE SPIRIT2. STAR CONTACT+0.5L3. AMAZING VICTORY+0.5L4. ALL IS GOOD+1.25L5. GANG OF BROTHERS+1.5L6. ROYAL AGILITY+1.75L7. SHINING FORTUNE+1.75L8. SUPER HIGHWAY+3.5L9. HANG'S DECISION+4L10. BELL OF VICTORY+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick SHINING FORTUNE (19.3%) finished 7th — the winner SINGAPORE SPIRIT was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 SHINING FORTUNE 19.3% 5.17 7
2 7 ALL IS GOOD 17.2% 5.83 4
3 12 SUPER HIGHWAY 16.0% 6.27 8
4 4 GANG OF BROTHERS 11.7% 8.51 5
5 11 STAR CONTACT 7.8% 12.86 2
6 2 AMAZING VICTORY 7.0% 14.20 3
7 3 ROYAL AGILITY 4.1% 24.18 6
8 1 VICTORY SCHOLARS 3.6% 28.14 11
9 6 SEATOSKY 3.5% 28.56 12
10 10 SINGAPORE SPIRIT 3.1% 32.71 1
11 13 HANG'S DECISION 2.7% 37.32 9
12 5 KASI FARASI 2.7% 37.52 13
13 9 GOLD COMET 1.0% 102.90 14
14 14 BELL OF VICTORY 0.4% 236.73 10
SHINING FORTUNEALL IS GOODSUPER HIGHWAYGANG OF BROTHERSSTAR CONTACTAMAZING VICTORYROYAL AGILITYVICTORY SCHOLARSSEATOSKYSINGAPORE SPIRIT — wonHANG'S DECISIONKASI FARASIGOLD COMETBELL OF VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 359

PLACE

2 22.5

10 102

11 37

QUINELLA

10,11 1,963.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,10 413.5

2,11 132.5

10,11 536.5

FORECAST

10,11 3,837

TIERCE

10,11,2 30,579

TRIO

2,10,11 4,424

FIRST 4

2,7,10,11 4,089

QUARTET

10,11,2,7 139,987

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2

A3 19

A1

5TH DOUBLE

11/10 2,123

11/11 64