Sha Tin · 2022-07-16 · 16:07
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN Closed strongly B/TT 1.34.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 4 | 2.5 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER B J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 5 | 4.7 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL Closed strongly E-/B L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER Closed strongly V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 30.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD Led early B C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 60.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT Closed strongly B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 61.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 18.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 36.0 | 16-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-16 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. TURIN REDSUN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with MONEY CATCHER second and BOURBONAIRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER | 24.7% | 4.05 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE | 23.3% | 4.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | TURIN REDSUN | 20.9% | 4.78 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 10.6% | 9.47 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 4.5% | 22.01 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER | 3.6% | 27.66 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD | 3.4% | 29.71 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 3.1% | 31.94 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 2.3% | 42.94 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 1.9% | 52.37 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT | 1.6% | 61.74 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 25.5
PLACE
7 13
8 16.5
9 16.5
QUINELLA
7,9 53
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 25
7,9 23.5
8,9 34
FORECAST
7,9 98
TIERCE
7,9,8 228
TRIO
7,8,9 54
FIRST 4
3,7,8,9 190
QUARTET
7,9,8,3 1,954
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,11/7,8,9 24,075
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A2 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
11/7 189.5
11/9 98.5
WINNING TRAINER
B1 —
B2 23
B4 —
B3 —