沙田 · 2022-07-16 · 16:07
第 8場
2022-07-16沙田第8場，Class 1，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Whyte訓練的TURIN REDSUN勝出，贏出SH。MONEY CATCHER獲得亞軍；BOURBONAIRE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | TURIN REDSUN 後段發力 B/TT 1.34.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 4 | 2.5 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | MONEY CATCHER B J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 5 | 4.7 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | BOURBONAIRE H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL 後段發力 E-/B L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | CELESTIAL POWER 後段發力 V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 30.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | FANTASTIC TREASURE TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SAVVY NINE 後段發力 B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | KINGS SHIELD 早段領放 B C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 60.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | MIGHTY GIANT 後段發力 B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 61.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | CALIFORNIA TEN B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 18.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | CHAMPION'S WAY P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 36.0 | 16-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MONEY CATCHER | 24.7% | 4.05 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | BOURBONAIRE | 23.3% | 4.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | TURIN REDSUN | 20.9% | 4.78 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 10.6% | 9.47 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 4.5% | 22.01 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | CELESTIAL POWER | 3.6% | 27.66 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | KINGS SHIELD | 3.4% | 29.71 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 3.1% | 31.94 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | SAVVY NINE | 2.3% | 42.94 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | CHAMPION'S WAY | 1.9% | 52.37 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | MIGHTY GIANT | 1.6% | 61.74 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 25.5
PLACE
7 13
8 16.5
9 16.5
QUINELLA
7,9 53
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 25
7,9 23.5
8,9 34
FORECAST
7,9 98
TIERCE
7,9,8 228
TRIO
7,8,9 54
FIRST 4
3,7,8,9 190
QUARTET
7,9,8,3 1,954
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,11/7,8,9 24,075
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A2 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
11/7 189.5
11/9 98.5
WINNING TRAINER
B4 —
B1 —
B3 —
B2 23