沙田 · 2022-07-16 · 14:01
第 4場
2022-07-16沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、T P Yung訓練的ICE LEGEND勝出，贏出3/4。YOUTHFUL DEAL獲得亞軍；BEAUTY TYCOON獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門BEAUTY TYCOON跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ICE LEGEND BO/H/TT 1.09.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 11 | 29.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | YOUTHFUL DEAL TT1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY TYCOON A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 3.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | LUCKY GOR H-/B/E1/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 5 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | CHING L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 6 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | FALCON TURBO B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | ALL IS READY B2 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 8 | 74.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | THETA HEDGE V-/H/B1/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 11.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | WHAT A LEGEND B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 86.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | WAR OF COURAGE B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 14 | 48.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | YOUNG HORIZON SB C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 1 | 9.5 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | HAPPY FAT CAT H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 7 | 29.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | PACKING MONKEYKING L Ferraris · L Ho | L Ferraris | L Ho | 2 | 15.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | GLORIOUS LOVER V R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 12 | 21.0 | 21-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY TYCOON | 15.9% | 6.28 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 15.6% | 6.43 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | FALCON TURBO | 11.9% | 8.37 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | ICE LEGEND | 8.8% | 11.42 | 1 |
| 5 | 14 | THETA HEDGE | 8.2% | 12.27 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY GOR | 7.3% | 13.78 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 7.0% | 14.30 | 14 |
| 8 | 9 | YOUNG HORIZON | 6.3% | 15.86 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | CHING | 6.1% | 16.34 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | PACKING MONKEYKING | 4.0% | 25.09 | 13 |
| 11 | 13 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 2.8% | 35.17 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | WHAT A LEGEND | 2.6% | 37.80 | 9 |
| 13 | 3 | WAR OF COURAGE | 2.3% | 42.90 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | ALL IS READY | 1.2% | 83.59 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 292.5
PLACE
1 14
4 64
8 16.5
QUINELLA
4,8 470
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 155.5
1,8 28
4,8 149
FORECAST
4,8 1,770
TIERCE
4,8,1 4,883
TRIO
1,4,8 425
FIRST 4
1,4,6,8 1,457
QUARTET
4,8,1,6 55,047
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 30.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
4/4 2,137
4/8 76.5