沙田 · 2022-07-16 · 13:01
第 2場
2022-07-16沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Currie策騎、C W Chang訓練的ONE STEP AHEAD勝出，贏出NOSE。RUBY STARS獲得亞軍；WINWIN THIRTYTHREE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.3倍大熱門WINWIN THIRTYTHREE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD 後段發力 1.23.23 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 10 | 31.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 14 | RUBY STARS CP/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 6.8 | NOSE |
| 3 | 9 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 V J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | THIS IS CHARISMA 後段發力 CP/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 13 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | HEARTY WISH SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.4 | 1 |
| 6 | 13 | PRIME STAR B/TT H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 1 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | ALLOY KING CP A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 7 | 51.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SICOMORO 後段發力 H2/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 6 | 23.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | TEAM GOODLUCK 早段領放 CP/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | BRAVE POWER 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 9 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | AMAZING NEWS 後段發力 P/XB K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 4 | MISSION SMART CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | MULTIPLE STAR M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 3 | 23.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 6 | BOOMING WELL TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 14 | 21.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 20.1% | 4.98 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 11.1% | 9.03 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | BOOMING WELL | 8.5% | 11.82 | 14 |
| 4 | 3 | BRAVE POWER | 7.8% | 12.87 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 7.6% | 13.20 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | MISSION SMART | 7.5% | 13.42 | 12 |
| 7 | 5 | HEARTY WISH | 6.7% | 14.88 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | RUBY STARS | 6.4% | 15.67 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 5.9% | 16.93 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | AMAZING NEWS | 5.9% | 17.00 | 11 |
| 11 | 13 | PRIME STAR | 4.1% | 24.56 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | ALLOY KING | 3.2% | 31.58 | 7 |
| 13 | 8 | SICOMORO | 2.9% | 35.01 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | MULTIPLE STAR | 2.6% | 38.38 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 315
PLACE
9 15.5
11 70.5
14 28
QUINELLA
11,14 1,280
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 191
9,14 60.5
11,14 368
FORECAST
11,14 2,290
TIERCE
11,14,9 12,885
TRIO
9,11,14 1,443
FIRST 4
9,10,11,14 2,855
QUARTET
11,14,9,10 92,247
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
3/11 3,967.5
3/14 344.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 17