沙田 · 2022-07-16 · 12:31
第 1場
2022-07-16沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、D J Hall訓練的MELBOURNE HALL勝出，贏出1-1/4。TAKINGUFURTHER獲得亞軍；THE JOLLY獲得季軍。4.8倍大熱門VECTOR跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MELBOURNE HALL H-/XB/B1 1.09.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | TAKINGUFURTHER V C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 2 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | THE JOLLY B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | TOWARDS SUCCESS TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 41.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | MOON PEAKS B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 8 | 7.3 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | DRAGON BABY TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 9.7 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | THE GOOD DEAL H-/CP1/TT V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 6 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | VECTOR B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 10 | 4.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 14 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | TRONIC MIGHTY CP/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 12 | 47.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | HAPPY TIME TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 1 | 8.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | STAR OF RED B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 4 | 9.7 | 9 |
| 13 | 4 | WHISKEY NEAT B/H/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 7 | 21.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT K H Chan · R Gibson | K H Chan | R Gibson | 9 | 17.0 | 17-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | VECTOR | 13.1% | 7.62 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | THE JOLLY | 10.5% | 9.48 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | MOON PEAKS | 8.9% | 11.18 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | GOOD BEAUTY | 8.3% | 12.06 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | HAPPY TIME | 8.3% | 12.10 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | STAR OF RED | 8.0% | 12.48 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | DRAGON BABY | 7.6% | 13.14 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 7.4% | 13.43 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | FORTUNE HERO | 6.6% | 15.13 | 14 |
| 10 | 4 | WHISKEY NEAT | 5.8% | 17.12 | 13 |
| 11 | 3 | MELBOURNE HALL | 5.5% | 18.07 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 4.5% | 22.13 | 4 |
| 13 | 1 | THE GOOD DEAL | 3.0% | 33.46 | 7 |
| 14 | 13 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 2.3% | 44.04 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 148
PLACE
3 43.5
7 28
9 54.5
QUINELLA
3,7 570.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 187
3,9 336.5
7,9 218.5
FORECAST
3,7 1,079
TIERCE
3,7,9 20,143
TRIO
3,7,9 2,364
FIRST 4
3,7,9,10 21,628
QUARTET
3,7,9,10 543,256
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 19
A1 —