沙田 · 2022-07-16 · 15:33
第 7場
2022-07-16沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的NEVER TOO SOON勝出，贏出2-3/4。DECRYPT獲得亞軍；BEAUTY CHAMP獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門RED TITAN跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | NEVER TOO SOON 後段發力 TT 1.21.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 7.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | DECRYPT 後段發力 TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 11 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | BEAUTY CHAMP 後段發力 XB/SR1/TT- L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | RED TITAN 後段發力 H/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 3.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCKY FUN 後段發力 TT2 M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 5 | 20.0 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP-/B1/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 3 | 8.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SUPER DYNAMITE M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 2 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 7 | IMPERIAL MAGEE H/TT R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 1 | 9.9 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | BEAUTY MISSION CP A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 6.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | FLYING BONUS 早段領放 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 10 | 112.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 8 | 46.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | LUCKY QUALITY V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 14 | 67.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | GREAT BRILLIANT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 9 | 107.0 | 16 |
| 14 | 2 | KILINDINI TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 12 | 24.0 | 16-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | RED TITAN | 21.3% | 4.70 | 4 |
| 2 | 13 | BEAUTY MISSION | 16.1% | 6.22 | 9 |
| 3 | 11 | NEVER TOO SOON | 12.6% | 7.92 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 10.3% | 9.75 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 9.8% | 10.18 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | KILINDINI | 8.0% | 12.45 | 14 |
| 7 | 10 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 4.5% | 22.18 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | DECRYPT | 4.1% | 24.50 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 3.8% | 26.48 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | LUCKY FUN | 3.5% | 28.30 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY QUALITY | 2.5% | 40.20 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 2.1% | 47.31 | 11 |
| 13 | 6 | FLYING BONUS | 1.1% | 91.48 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | GREAT BRILLIANT | 0.3% | 304.67 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 71
PLACE
4 41
10 38.5
11 27.5
QUINELLA
4,11 527.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 211.5
4,11 163.5
10,11 143
FORECAST
11,4 1,203
TIERCE
11,4,10 11,399
TRIO
4,10,11 1,645
FIRST 4
4,10,11,12 1,983
QUARTET
11,4,10,12 65,303
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 27.5
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
10/4 1,128.5
10/11 3,391.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
11,13,14/2,10,11/Any Combination 644,953