沙田 · 2022-07-16 · 13:31
第 3場
2022-07-16沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的HK DRAGON勝出，贏出3/4。FIRE BALL獲得亞軍；OVER THE MOON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.3倍大熱門SUPER RED DRAGON跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HK DRAGON 後段發力 B/TT 1.22.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 9.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | FIRE BALL 後段發力 TT- A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 9.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | OVER THE MOON 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 6 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | INDIGENOUS REALM 後段發力 H/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | REGENCY MASTER 後段發力 B2 V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 4 | 51.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER RED DRAGON 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 3.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | CITY LEGEND 後段發力 B/TT L Currie · T P Yung | L Currie | T P Yung | 10 | 35.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | TOYCOON B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 11 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | GENERAL WINNER CP H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 2 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 48.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | EVER FORCE 早段領放 B/TT2 M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 14 | 18.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | BARON ZEE 後段發力 B/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 13 | 95.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | AEROVERSARY B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 23.0 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 15.8% | 6.31 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | OVER THE MOON | 15.3% | 6.54 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 15.0% | 6.67 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY | 12.7% | 7.87 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | HK DRAGON | 9.2% | 10.90 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | EVER FORCE | 5.7% | 17.44 | 12 |
| 7 | 2 | TOYCOON | 5.6% | 18.00 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | GENERAL WINNER | 4.5% | 22.24 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | AEROVERSARY | 4.1% | 24.62 | 14 |
| 10 | 14 | REGENCY MASTER | 3.1% | 32.62 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | CITY LEGEND | 2.9% | 34.41 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | FIRE BALL | 2.7% | 37.58 | 2 |
| 13 | 11 | BARON ZEE | 2.0% | 49.26 | 13 |
| 14 | 7 | MIGHTY STAR | 1.5% | 67.92 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 94.5
PLACE
4 33
8 24
13 27.5
QUINELLA
4,13 490
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 163.5
4,13 169
8,13 195
FORECAST
4,13 1,161
TIERCE
4,13,8 10,580
TRIO
4,8,13 2,267
FIRST 4
1,4,8,13 2,117
QUARTET
4,13,8,1 65,920
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
11/4 3,396
11/13 1,240.5
3 PICK 1
A2 31.5
A3 —
A1 —