Sha Tin · 2022-07-16 · 13:01
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD Closed strongly 1.23.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 10 | 31.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | RUBY STARS CP/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 8 | 6.8 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA Closed strongly CP/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 13 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HEARTY WISH SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.4 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | PRIME STAR B/TT H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 1 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ALLOY KING CP A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 7 | 51.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SICOMORO Closed strongly H2/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 6 | 23.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | TEAM GOODLUCK Led early CP/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 9 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly P/XB K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | MISSION SMART CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | MULTIPLE STAR M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 3 | 23.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | BOOMING WELL TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 14 | 21.0 | 13 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-16 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ONE STEP AHEAD, ridden by L Currie and trained by C W Chang, won by NOSE, with RUBY STARS second and WINWIN THIRTYTHREE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite WINWIN THIRTYTHREE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 20.1% | 4.98 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 11.1% | 9.03 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | BOOMING WELL | 8.5% | 11.82 | 14 |
| 4 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 7.8% | 12.87 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 7.6% | 13.20 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | MISSION SMART | 7.5% | 13.42 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | HEARTY WISH | 6.7% | 14.88 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | RUBY STARS | 6.4% | 15.67 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 5.9% | 16.93 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS | 5.9% | 17.00 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIME STAR | 4.1% | 24.56 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | ALLOY KING | 3.2% | 31.58 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | SICOMORO | 2.9% | 35.01 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | MULTIPLE STAR | 2.6% | 38.38 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 315
PLACE
9 15.5
11 70.5
14 28
QUINELLA
11,14 1,280
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 191
9,14 60.5
11,14 368
FORECAST
11,14 2,290
TIERCE
11,14,9 12,885
TRIO
9,11,14 1,443
FIRST 4
9,10,11,14 2,855
QUARTET
11,14,9,10 92,247
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/11 3,967.5
3/14 344.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 17