Sha Tin · 2022-10-26 · 19:16
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JUBILATION Closed strongly V 1.49.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 10 | 31.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BOYS PARTY Led early M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RUN DES RUN Closed strongly TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 11 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | OH BRAVO Closed strongly TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 9 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | CABLE SPEED H-/CP1/TT L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 13 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER Closed strongly V-/H/B1/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 62.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | WINNING STEED B/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 5 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEED FORCE B C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 3 | 8.6 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER Closed strongly XB/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 14 | 26.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE TT Y L Chung · A T Millard | Y L Chung | A T Millard | 1 | 6.6 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC SR/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 6 | 28.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLD COMET H-/B2 R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 8 | 25.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 4 | 15.0 | 19-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-26 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. JUBILATION, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by L Ho, won by 1-1/4, with BOYS PARTY second and RUN DES RUN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite RUN DES RUN finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RUN DES RUN | 17.4% | 5.73 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SKY GEM | 12.0% | 8.36 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING STEED | 11.5% | 8.66 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE | 7.9% | 12.58 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 6.7% | 14.83 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 6.6% | 15.06 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 6.5% | 15.46 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 6.3% | 15.85 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | BOYS PARTY | 5.9% | 17.01 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | OH BRAVO | 5.6% | 17.84 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | CABLE SPEED | 5.0% | 19.93 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | JUBILATION | 4.4% | 22.96 | 1 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLD COMET | 2.5% | 40.11 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER | 1.6% | 62.71 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 314
PLACE
2 14.5
9 44.5
11 83
QUINELLA
9,11 2,257
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 95.5
2,11 186.5
9,11 671
FORECAST
11,9 7,302
TIERCE
11,9,2 30,936
TRIO
2,9,11 1,805
FIRST 4
2,7,9,11 5,122
QUARTET
11,9,2,7 206,738
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
6/9 186
6/11 4,448.5
3 PICK 1
A3 20
A1 —
A2 —