Sha Tin · 2022-10-26 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD Wire to wire B 1.39.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 6.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | APACHE PASS Closed strongly BO/XB K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 1 | 2.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/XB/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 2 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SAVAQUIN P1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 7.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 8 | 17.0 | 24-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MAXIMUS L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-26 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. KINGS SHIELD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with APACHE PASS second and SO WE JOY third. The winner led throughout. The 2.6 favourite APACHE PASS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 18.2% | 5.48 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | KINGS SHIELD | 16.6% | 6.02 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | APACHE PASS | 14.8% | 6.74 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SO WE JOY | 14.2% | 7.04 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO | 13.7% | 7.29 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 11.0% | 9.10 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 8.4% | 11.89 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT | 3.0% | 33.34 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 62.5
PLACE
1 19.5
6 13
7 17.5
QUINELLA
1,6 97.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 41.5
1,7 63
6,7 22.5
FORECAST
1,6 270
TIERCE
1,6,7 916
TRIO
1,6,7 135
FIRST 4
1,5,6,7 318
QUARTET
1,6,7,5 6,534
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 20
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/1 1,099
3/6 78.5