Sha Tin · 2022-10-26 · 22:53
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-26 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. CHANCHENG PRINCE, ridden by R Maia and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with VIVA HUNTER second and TRUE LEGEND third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite HANDSOME TWELVE finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE Wire to wire XB/TT 1.37.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 5 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | VIVA HUNTER Closed strongly TT2 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 9.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | TRUE LEGEND B Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 1 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly CP-/V1/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 6 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 2.8 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | AMAZING TEENS H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly CP-/H/B2/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 8 | 22.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | LUCKY FUN V-/TT C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 11 | 61.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT Closed strongly C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 13 | 11.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | DR WINNING P1/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 12 | 59.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | ULTRA EXPRESS B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 4 | 26.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT- K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 40.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | ROBOT WARRIOR B- H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 9 | 84.0 | 17-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 27.1% | 3.69 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | AMAZING TEENS | 12.9% | 7.75 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | TRUE LEGEND | 9.5% | 10.56 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | VIVA HUNTER | 9.4% | 10.66 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 7.7% | 12.98 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 6.7% | 14.94 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 5.9% | 17.02 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 4.8% | 20.84 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | PRIME MINISTER | 4.3% | 23.25 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | LUCKY FUN | 3.7% | 26.77 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | ROYAL BOMB | 3.2% | 31.56 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | DR WINNING | 2.7% | 37.27 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 2.2% | 45.45 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 40
PLACE
1 17
10 32.5
11 24.5
QUINELLA
1,11 257
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 73
1,11 79.5
10,11 171
FORECAST
1,11 347
TIERCE
1,11,10 3,293
TRIO
1,10,11 749
FIRST 4
1,4,10,11 2,549
QUARTET
1,11,10,4 40,493
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,12/1,10,11 71,609
8TH DOUBLE
2/1 103
2/11 81.5
SIX UP
1/3/2,7/6/2/1 5,228
1,6/3,9/2,4,7/6,11/2,12/1,11 419
1 [Z Purton] —
9 [P C Ng] —
TREBLE
6/2/1 252
6/2/11 243