Sha Tin · 2022-10-26 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-26 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SUPER WIN DRAGON, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 2, with CALL ME TEDDY second and RED DESERT third. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT 1.08.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 2.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | CALL ME TEDDY TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 3 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | RED DESERT B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | JOLLY RULER L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 5 | 5.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | PARTY WARRIOR H M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 6 | 62.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | ICE LEGEND BO/H/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 2 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | REVE PARISIEN C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 9 | 9.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | FAULDS XB/PC1/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 7 | 9.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.4 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | GLORIOUS STARLIGHT H1 M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 12 | 74.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | LUCKY QUALITY V- K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 11 | 91.0 | 16-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 23.1% | 4.33 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 19.0% | 5.27 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | ICE LEGEND | 16.8% | 5.94 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | JOLLY RULER | 9.3% | 10.77 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | FAULDS | 6.9% | 14.58 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | PARTY WARRIOR | 6.5% | 15.38 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | REVE PARISIEN | 5.2% | 19.27 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | RED DESERT | 3.9% | 25.91 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 3.1% | 32.61 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | CALL ME TEDDY | 3.0% | 33.19 | 2 |
| 11 | 10 | LUCKY QUALITY | 2.2% | 45.93 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | GLORIOUS STARLIGHT | 1.1% | 89.44 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 23
PLACE
2 12
3 37
12 37.5
QUINELLA
2,12 155.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 63.5
2,12 53.5
3,12 241
FORECAST
2,12 289
TIERCE
2,12,3 1,305
TRIO
2,3,12 573
FIRST 4
2,3,8,12 688
QUARTET
2,12,3,8 12,234
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 16.5
7TH DOUBLE
6/2 54
6/12 100.5