Sha Tin · 2022-10-26 · 21:18
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TRADER CP/TT 1.08.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 1 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | YELLOWFIN C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 5.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MIRACLES B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PROSECCO H/SR K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 6 | 23.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | DOUBLE SHOW CP-/V1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 10.0 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON B K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 25.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY B/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 5 | 114.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | HOODABUTTA M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 81.0 | 15 |
| — | 0 | SON PAK FU BO-/B1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | 20.0 | 6 |
| — | 0 | BELL OF HAPPINESS H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-26 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. TRADER, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/2, with YOUTHFUL DEAL second and YELLOWFIN third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 27.3% | 3.66 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | YELLOWFIN | 20.8% | 4.80 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | TRADER | 11.8% | 8.47 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 10.6% | 9.41 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON | 8.5% | 11.77 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | DOUBLE SHOW | 6.6% | 15.04 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | MIRACLES | 5.0% | 19.87 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | PROSECCO | 3.9% | 25.64 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | SON PAK FU | 3.4% | 29.40 | — |
| 10 | 0 | HOODABUTTA | 1.1% | 89.17 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 0.8% | 118.03 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 28
PLACE
2 13
4 17.5
5 18.5
QUINELLA
2,4 63.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 27.5
2,5 33.5
4,5 40
FORECAST
2,4 144
TIERCE
2,4,5 339
TRIO
2,4,5 67
FIRST 4
2,4,5,12 118
QUARTET
2,4,5,12 1,900
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
3/2,7 125.5
3/4 22