Sha Tin · 2022-10-26 · 20:46
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-26 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. FIERY DIAMOND, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by NOSE, with STAND UP second and COLOURFUL PRINCE third. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FIERY DIAMOND 1.08.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 3.2 | NOSE |
| 2 | 9 | STAND UP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 8.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 12 | COLOURFUL PRINCE H/SR/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 8 | 5.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | TOUCH FAITH P2 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 4.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | KILLER INSTINCT B1/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 9.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | STARRY NIGHT B/TT1 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 10 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER JOY P1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 45.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | SPEEDSTAR B L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 4 | 70.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | BRILLIANT LIFE R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 2 | 15.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON B/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 12 | 91.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | DRAGON KINGDOM CP1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 18.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FIERY DIAMOND | 47.2% | 2.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | STAND UP | 9.4% | 10.65 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | STARRY NIGHT | 8.0% | 12.57 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | TOUCH FAITH | 7.1% | 14.08 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 6.2% | 16.07 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | LUCKY RUBY | 5.8% | 17.19 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | KILLER INSTINCT | 5.5% | 18.26 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER JOY | 3.2% | 31.42 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 2.7% | 37.19 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | BRILLIANT LIFE | 2.4% | 41.65 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | SPEEDSTAR | 1.6% | 61.24 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON | 1.0% | 102.84 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 32
PLACE
3 15
9 25.5
12 23.5
QUINELLA
3,9 134
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 50.5
3,12 46.5
9,12 101.5
FORECAST
3,9 231
TIERCE
3,9,12 1,224
TRIO
3,9,12 314
FIRST 4
3,9,11,12 950
QUARTET
3,9,12,11 12,862
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,7/3,9,12 3,415
3 PICK 1
A1 19
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/3 203
1/9 86.5