Sha Tin · 2022-10-26 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-26 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. YES WE CAN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 2-1/4, with LADY FIRST second and GREEN LASER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly B/TT 1.38.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 4 | 2.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | LADY FIRST Closed strongly CP/XB/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 1 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | GREEN LASER B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | TURBO POWER Closed strongly P1 A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 6 | 6.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 10 | 46.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | LUCKY VICTOR B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | VIVA A LA Closed strongly H/P/TT C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 13 | 37.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 2 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | INFINITE POWER Led early CP Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 3 | 14.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | SUPER BUDDY Closed strongly B L Currie · Y S Tsui | L Currie | Y S Tsui | 8 | 36.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SURE JOYFUL P- L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 5 | 19.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | MISSION BRAVO H/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 12 | 11.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS V A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 9 | 21.0 | 29 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | YES WE CAN | 27.5% | 3.64 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 9.8% | 10.24 | 13 |
| 3 | 2 | MISSION BRAVO | 9.2% | 10.81 | 12 |
| 4 | 5 | TURBO POWER | 8.3% | 12.04 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | LUCKY VICTOR | 8.2% | 12.16 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | SURE JOYFUL | 6.5% | 15.40 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER BUDDY | 6.1% | 16.34 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | MAGIC SUPREME | 5.9% | 16.82 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | LADY FIRST | 5.6% | 17.77 | 2 |
| 10 | 1 | INFINITE POWER | 4.3% | 23.35 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | GREEN LASER | 4.2% | 23.83 | 3 |
| 12 | 9 | VIVA A LA | 2.2% | 44.86 | 7 |
| 13 | 4 | SURREALISM | 2.1% | 47.24 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 22
PLACE
6 13.5
10 30
11 47
QUINELLA
6,11 241.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 44
6,11 89.5
10,11 227
FORECAST
6,11 407
TIERCE
6,11,10 2,037
TRIO
6,10,11 525
FIRST 4
5,6,10,11 606
QUARTET
6,11,10,5 10,665
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,5,7/6,10,11 5,550
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16.5
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
2,7/6 85.5
2,7/11 145
TRIPLE TRIO
3,9,12/2,4,5,7/6,10,11 120,478
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,9,12/2,4,5,7/Any Combination 267