Happy Valley · 2023-01-04 · 19:16
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALLOY KING V 1.10.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 2 | 5.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | M M JOHNNY B H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 4 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 36.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | LORIZ B2 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 5 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ZACIAN S De Sousa · C S Shum | S De Sousa | C S Shum | 10 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SHENRON H-/PC/XB/TT- C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 3 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 8.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 7 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | WINS ALL B/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 9 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | LITTLE PLAYER V-/XB/B2/TT M F Poon · J Richards | M F Poon | J Richards | 1 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | DASHING GENIUS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 20.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 22.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-04 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ALLOY KING, ridden by H Bentley and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with M M JOHNNY second and HEAVENLY THOUGHT third. The 3.1 favourite M M JOHNNY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | M M JOHNNY | 16.2% | 6.17 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY | 11.8% | 8.48 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | ZACIAN | 10.8% | 9.27 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | DASHING GENIUS | 10.2% | 9.82 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | LITTLE PLAYER | 9.1% | 10.96 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | ALLOY KING | 8.9% | 11.25 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | LORIZ | 7.4% | 13.49 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | DAY DAY RICH | 7.2% | 13.91 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | WINS ALL | 6.5% | 15.46 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | SHENRON | 4.7% | 21.09 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE HERO | 4.1% | 24.27 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 3.1% | 32.45 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 59.5
PLACE
2 13.5
6 94
8 19.5
QUINELLA
2,8 105.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 189
2,8 40
6,8 309.5
FORECAST
8,2 229
TIERCE
8,2,6 5,550
TRIO
2,6,8 949
FIRST 4
1,2,6,8 809
QUARTET
8,2,6,1 22,755
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
12/2 69
12/8 789.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 21.5