Happy Valley · 2023-01-04 · 19:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 2.7 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER Closed strongly B H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 8.1 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS CP1 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 8.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 7 | 8.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 2 | 9.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RIVER VIEWS B- C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly CP K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 10 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GANG OF BROTHERS Led early V L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 8 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY BANNER Closed strongly H1/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 11 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly H/PC/TT S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 12 | 49.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER HORNET B/XB1/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR B/XB H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 3 | 38.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-04 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LEGION OF MERIT, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with RED BRICK FIGHTER second and EIGHTEEN PALMS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 30.1% | 3.32 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 14.9% | 6.70 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | RIVER VIEWS | 11.6% | 8.65 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 7.9% | 12.67 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 6.6% | 15.21 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 6.1% | 16.32 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 5.7% | 17.59 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER HORNET | 5.3% | 18.72 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY BANNER | 4.2% | 23.58 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION | 3.5% | 28.71 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR | 2.3% | 42.78 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 1.8% | 56.89 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 27.5
PLACE
2 22.5
4 30
7 12.5
QUINELLA
2,7 96.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 113.5
2,7 43
4,7 60
FORECAST
7,2 139
TIERCE
7,2,4 1,139
TRIO
2,4,7 281
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 337
QUARTET
7,2,4,1 5,170
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
8/2 87.5
8/7 207.5
3 PICK 1
A1 20.5
A2 —
A3 —