Happy Valley · 2023-01-04 · 22:19
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly 1.39.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 4.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 8 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN Closed strongly V-/XB/B2/TT S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 12 | 9.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | E LEGEND K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 4 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CASA COSMO Closed strongly B/XB/TT R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 9 | 55.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 7 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | DYNAMIC SPIRIT Led early TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 2.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 10 | 109.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BULLETPROOF V C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 3 | 66.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | PRAGMATISM V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 1 | 122.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | RED MAJESTY B/TT Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 11 | 23.0 | 17 |
| — | 0 | PRINCE ALEX CP/SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | — | 8.7 | 6-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-04 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ALL BEAUTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with HAPPY DAILY second and CAPTAIN WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite DYNAMIC SPIRIT finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DYNAMIC SPIRIT | 26.6% | 3.76 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | E LEGEND | 16.9% | 5.93 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY | 11.2% | 8.90 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 9.5% | 10.52 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN | 8.8% | 11.30 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | PRINCE ALEX | 7.8% | 12.82 | — |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY DAILY | 6.0% | 16.73 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 5.4% | 18.37 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 2.6% | 38.71 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 2.3% | 43.34 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | CASA COSMO | 1.7% | 58.20 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | PRAGMATISM | 1.1% | 89.65 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 45.5
PLACE
2 30.5
5 17.5
6 43.5
QUINELLA
5,6 341.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 66.5
2,6 194
5,6 90
FORECAST
5,6 796
TIERCE
5,6,2 3,980
TRIO
2,5,6 659
FIRST 4
2,5,6,12 1,259
QUARTET
5,6,2,12 30,597
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 20.5
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/5 626.5
7/6 311