Happy Valley · 2023-01-04 · 22:53
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-04 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOLD GOLD BABY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with BEAUTY CHARGE second and GOLDEN LINK third. The 2.1 favourite HEROIC MASTER finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GOLD GOLD BABY TT 1.09.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | GOLDEN LINK K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | STORMTROUPER E/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 6 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | COBHFIELD XB K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NICCONI COUNTY TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | HEROIC MASTER TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 2.1 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS B M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 59.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | LORD THUNDER XB-/CP1/TT- L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 12 | 37.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 11 | 138.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 6 | HAPPY SHARING CP/TT- Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 7 | 20.0 | 19-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HEROIC MASTER | 30.3% | 3.30 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 17.2% | 5.81 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 11.0% | 9.12 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | NICCONI COUNTY | 7.2% | 13.92 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | STORMTROUPER | 6.2% | 16.10 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | COBHFIELD | 6.1% | 16.39 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 5.5% | 18.33 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | NAMJONG SINGS | 5.2% | 19.10 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | HAPPY SHARING | 3.7% | 26.69 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | LORD THUNDER | 3.4% | 29.63 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | GOLDEN LINK | 3.2% | 31.06 | 3 |
| 12 | 12 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 1.0% | 103.54 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 36.5
PLACE
1 28
9 15
10 45.5
QUINELLA
1,9 204.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 70.5
1,10 203
9,10 86.5
FORECAST
9,1 245
TIERCE
9,1,10 2,501
TRIO
1,9,10 940
FIRST 4
1,9,10,11 1,418
QUARTET
9,1,10,11 15,789
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 13.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,6/1,9,10 57,659
8TH DOUBLE
5/1 60.5
5/9 182
SIX UP
5,7/7,8/5,11/7,12/5,6/1,9 298,445
7/7/5/7/5/9 650,840
1 [C S Shum] —
2 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
7/5/1 1,042
7/5/9 2,443