Happy Valley · 2023-01-04 · 21:16
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TOP TOP TEA 1.10.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 6 | 18.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | FORTUNE CARRIER B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 24.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | YELLOWFIN TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HEARTY WISH SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | E BROTHER B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 2 | 2.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | COLONEL V2 V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 7 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WIND N GRASS B/XB/TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 4 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ABOVE ALL H/XB H Bowman · A T Millard | H Bowman | A T Millard | 3 | 9.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SPICY SO SMART H1/XB1 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 11 | 128.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | JUST GREAT TWO B L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 9 | 223.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SHINING FORTUNE PC-/B2 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 9.8 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK CP K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 17.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TOP TOP TEA, ridden by R Maia and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with FORTUNE CARRIER second and YELLOWFIN third. The 2.2 favourite E BROTHER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | E BROTHER | 23.8% | 4.20 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | YELLOWFIN | 15.9% | 6.29 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | HEARTY WISH | 14.6% | 6.84 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SHINING FORTUNE | 12.5% | 8.03 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 6.1% | 16.31 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | ABOVE ALL | 5.1% | 19.71 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | COLONEL | 5.0% | 19.82 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | WIND N GRASS | 5.0% | 19.91 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | TOP TOP TEA | 4.6% | 21.94 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 3.8% | 26.32 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | SPICY SO SMART | 2.7% | 36.76 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | JUST GREAT TWO | 0.9% | 115.16 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 182
PLACE
5 43.5
6 19
11 61.5
QUINELLA
5,11 1,305
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 134.5
5,11 366
6,11 146
FORECAST
5,11 2,049
TIERCE
5,11,6 14,824
TRIO
5,6,11 2,342
FIRST 4
5,6,11,12 3,722
QUARTET
5,11,6,12 94,685
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 31
5TH DOUBLE
7/5 1,398.5
7/11 378