Happy Valley · 2023-01-04 · 20:16
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-04 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. KUNG FU TEA, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Hall, won by SH, with CHILL CHIBI second and YOUNG LIFE FOREVER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 5.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B 1.41.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 5.8 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly TT1 C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 1 | 61.0 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER Closed strongly H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 9 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | PACKING MONKEYKING Closed strongly K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 5 | 7.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | COPARTNER FIONN Closed strongly H/PC/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 7 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Led early B/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 11 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 9.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | CONCERTO Closed strongly XB1/TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 8 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | CORDYCEPS ONE B/H2 S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | 6 | 6.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | WIDE BLUE YONDER Closed strongly CP/XB1/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 12 | 7.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | RAINBOW LIGHT B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 7.9 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 19.3% | 5.19 | 9 |
| 2 | 11 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 10.4% | 9.66 | 11 |
| 3 | 8 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 9.7% | 10.34 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 9.5% | 10.52 | 12 |
| 5 | 7 | KUNG FU TEA | 8.6% | 11.58 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 8.6% | 11.61 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | CHILL CHIBI | 8.2% | 12.21 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 7.3% | 13.67 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | PACKING MONKEYKING | 7.0% | 14.23 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | CONCERTO | 4.8% | 20.65 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | COPARTNER FIONN | 4.6% | 21.58 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 1.9% | 51.40 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 58
PLACE
5 157.5
6 53
7 17.5
QUINELLA
5,7 1,812
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 1,615
5,7 472
6,7 155.5
FORECAST
7,5 2,312
TIERCE
7,5,6 37,745
TRIO
5,6,7 11,668
FIRST 4
5,6,7,9 16,793
QUARTET
7,5,6,9 390,077
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 24.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
7/5 366.5
7/7 139.5