Happy Valley · 2023-01-04 · 20:46
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. KING ECCELLENTE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by HD, with RIGHTEOUS ARION second and GLORY BO BO third. The 3.5 favourite BEAUTY MISSION finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KING ECCELLENTE CP/H/XB 1.10.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.0 | HD |
| 2 | 8 | RIGHTEOUS ARION H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 6 | 33.0 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | GLORY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 6.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | JUNE PLANET C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | BEAUTY MISSION CP/SR/TT1 H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 2 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | YOUNG HORIZON M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 29.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | ACT OF FAITH Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | COMMANDING MISSILE B/H/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 5 | 38.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPER JOY P K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 8 | 161.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | M M NEBULA B-/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | HERCULES B/TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 12 | 62.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | PLENTY PLENTY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 140.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ACT OF FAITH | 22.1% | 4.52 | 7 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY MISSION | 19.6% | 5.10 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | KING ECCELLENTE | 18.9% | 5.29 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | GLORY BO BO | 14.0% | 7.15 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | JUNE PLANET | 6.1% | 16.37 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 4.1% | 24.55 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | HERCULES | 3.8% | 26.36 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | M M NEBULA | 3.4% | 29.06 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 2.9% | 34.33 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | YOUNG HORIZON | 2.8% | 35.91 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | SUPER JOY | 1.5% | 68.07 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | PLENTY PLENTY | 0.8% | 124.64 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 60.5
PLACE
7 21.5
8 59.5
10 21.5
QUINELLA
7,8 1,179
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 315.5
7,10 68
8,10 260
FORECAST
7,8 2,547
TIERCE
7,8,10 14,628
TRIO
7,8,10 1,808
FIRST 4
5,7,8,10 2,738
QUARTET
7,8,10,5 88,759
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,7/7,8,10 1,688,714
3 PICK 1
A2 21
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
7/7 370.5
7/8 354