Happy Valley · 2023-02-01 · 18:49
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-01 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LORIZ, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with RAGING BLAZE second and EUROMISSILE third. Victory came as the 4.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LORIZ B 1.09.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | EUROMISSILE B/XB Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 7 | 7.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | ALLOY KING V H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 5 | 7.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 6.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SHENRON V/XB M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 2 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | TRAVEL GLORY B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 1 | 5.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | VIVA A LA H/P/TT A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 11 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | YOUNG HORIZON H/P K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 10 | 35.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT H N Wong · R Gibson | H N Wong | R Gibson | 12 | 53.0 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 2 | MIRACLES H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 8 | WINS ALL B-/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 4 | 6.9 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TRAVEL GLORY | 18.3% | 5.48 | 7 |
| 2 | 6 | EUROMISSILE | 17.5% | 5.71 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | ALLOY KING | 14.4% | 6.97 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 13.0% | 7.72 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | SHENRON | 8.7% | 11.48 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | LORIZ | 8.2% | 12.15 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE | 6.9% | 14.49 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | YOUNG HORIZON | 5.3% | 18.98 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | VIVA A LA | 4.5% | 22.22 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | FORTUNE HERO | 3.3% | 30.23 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 43
PLACE
1 17.5
6 31.5
12 41.5
QUINELLA
1,12 333
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 94
1,12 109.5
6,12 166
FORECAST
1,12 606
TIERCE
1,12,6 5,503
TRIO
1,6,12 892
FIRST 4
1,5,6,12 989
QUARTET
1,12,6,5 25,738
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 21
A3 —
A1 —