Happy Valley · 2023-02-01 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HERE COMES TED, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with MAJESTIC KNIGHT second and HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE third. The 4.4 favourite ADIOS finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HERE COMES TED B/TT 1.09.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 36.0 | N |
| 2 | 4 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.6 | N |
| 3 | 11 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ADIOS V-/CP1/TT1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 4.4 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 2 | 5.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | LESLIE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | BRAVE STAR XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | HUMBLE STAR SR/TT S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 7 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 1 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 46.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 10 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 6 | 15.0 | 4 |
| — | 0 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 14.9% | 6.70 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | ADIOS | 14.8% | 6.75 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | HUMBLE STAR | 14.5% | 6.90 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | SUGAR SUGAR | 12.4% | 8.06 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 11.8% | 8.49 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | LESLIE | 6.5% | 15.44 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | YO BEAUTY | 5.9% | 16.95 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | BRAVE STAR | 5.6% | 17.99 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 4.8% | 20.69 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 3.1% | 32.73 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | HERE COMES TED | 3.0% | 33.00 | 1 |
| 12 | 6 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 2.7% | 36.68 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 365
PLACE
4 23
7 79
11 24
QUINELLA
4,7 1,564
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 396.5
4,11 100
7,11 323
FORECAST
7,4 2,923
TIERCE
7,4,11 31,499
TRIO
4,7,11 3,229
FIRST 4
1,4,7,11 2,296
QUARTET
7,4,11,1 86,490
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 18
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/4 18
7/7 709.5