Happy Valley · 2023-02-01 · 20:46
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HOSS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by N, with SOLAR PARTNER second and INFINITE POWER third. The 3.4 favourite SOLAR PARTNER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HOSS XB/TT 1.09.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 5.4 | N |
| 2 | 3 | SOLAR PARTNER CP/TT S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 10 | 3.4 | N |
| 3 | 7 | INFINITE POWER CP-/SR1/B2 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 1 | 7.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | FIERY FLYING M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 68.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | HEARTY WISH SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | TOP TOP TEA R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 3 | 8.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | OUR CLASS ACT H L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 12 | 41.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | WOOD ON FIRE CP/H/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | KOKUSHI MUSOU TT Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 9 | 8.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | STOICISM B/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 11 | 56.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 6 | 16.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | MR FUN TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 4 | 7.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 0 | ABOVE ALL R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PLENTY PLENTY C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TOP TOP TEA | 18.3% | 5.45 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | HOSS | 17.7% | 5.66 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | SOLAR PARTNER | 12.7% | 7.85 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | HEARTY WISH | 10.0% | 10.02 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | INFINITE POWER | 7.9% | 12.74 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | MR FUN | 7.7% | 12.93 | 12 |
| 7 | 2 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 6.8% | 14.77 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 6.4% | 15.52 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | STOICISM | 3.8% | 26.30 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | WOOD ON FIRE | 3.5% | 28.33 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | OUR CLASS ACT | 3.4% | 29.11 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | FIERY FLYING | 1.7% | 58.85 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 54
PLACE
3 16.5
6 20.5
7 22.5
QUINELLA
3,6 124
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 55.5
3,7 52.5
6,7 72
FORECAST
6,3 260
TIERCE
6,3,7 1,498
TRIO
3,6,7 261
FIRST 4
3,6,7,12 3,850
QUARTET
6,3,7,12 45,814
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/3,6,7 24,342
3 PICK 1
A1 30.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
4/3 62.5
4/6 590.5