Happy Valley · 2023-02-01 · 21:16
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H 1.50.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 15.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 8 | 2.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO CP1/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 9 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 1 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 57.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SNAFFLES Closed strongly L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 4 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | HAVA NAGEELA B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 3.1 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | ENSURED B1 S De Sousa · D J Hall | S De Sousa | D J Hall | 6 | 7.6 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER OASIS B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 44.0 | 4 |
| — | 0 | SAMARKAND Led early H/XB/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | — | 68.0 | 2-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-01 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. ESCAPE ROUTE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by NOSE, with ROCKET SPADE second and PRIME MINISTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite ROCKET SPADE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAVA NAGEELA | 38.6% | 2.59 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | ENSURED | 13.7% | 7.31 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | ROCKET SPADE | 13.0% | 7.71 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 8.0% | 12.52 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 6.8% | 14.81 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SNAFFLES | 5.1% | 19.60 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 4.5% | 22.07 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER | 3.0% | 33.45 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 2.7% | 37.70 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER OASIS | 2.4% | 41.44 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SAMARKAND | 2.3% | 43.14 | — |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 152.5
PLACE
2 42
4 12.5
8 35
QUINELLA
4,8 210.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 95.5
2,8 317.5
4,8 69
FORECAST
8,4 639
TIERCE
8,4,2 8,872
TRIO
2,4,8 1,373
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 1,621
QUARTET
8,4,2,3 57,369
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 19
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/4 22.5
6/8 752.5