Happy Valley · 2023-02-01 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-01 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. REGENCY MASTER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C S Shum, won by HD, with DAZZLING FELLOW second and SMILING FACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite LOYAL AMBITION finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT 1.49.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 20.0 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | DAZZLING FELLOW Closed strongly B/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 2 | 8.8 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly B/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 7.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | CABLE SPEED Closed strongly CP-/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 7 | 46.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 10 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | MOONLUCK Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 4.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | BALLISTIC MAN B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 9 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | FORTUNE TRIPLE K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | LOYAL AMBITION Led early V/TT Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 1 | 3.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | HANG'S CHOICE B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 11 | 29.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS B V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 6 | 19.0 | 25-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LOYAL AMBITION | 22.7% | 4.41 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | MOONLUCK | 19.7% | 5.08 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 13.3% | 7.49 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 11.7% | 8.53 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | REGENCY MASTER | 5.7% | 17.56 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 5.0% | 19.80 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 4.8% | 20.76 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | SMILING FACE | 4.8% | 20.99 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | CABLE SPEED | 4.5% | 22.37 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | HANG'S CHOICE | 3.5% | 28.70 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | FORTUNE PATROL | 2.4% | 41.13 | 8 |
| 12 | 2 | BALLISTIC MAN | 1.8% | 54.21 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 206.5
PLACE
1 28
4 68
10 24
QUINELLA
1,4 1,078
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 246.5
1,10 104.5
4,10 262.5
FORECAST
4,1 3,091
TIERCE
4,1,10 17,759
TRIO
1,4,10 1,952
FIRST 4
1,4,10,12 14,890
QUARTET
4,1,10,12 525,269
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1,2/1 40.5
1,2/4 908.5
3 PICK 1
A3 28
A2 —
A1 —