Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2023-02-01 · 19:16

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1800m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.49.86
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT 1.49.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C S Shum 12 20.0 HD
2 0 DAZZLING FELLOW Closed strongly B/XB H Bowman · D J Hall 2 8.8 HD
3 0 SMILING FACE Closed strongly B/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 8 7.9 3/4
4 0 CABLE SPEED Closed strongly CP-/TT H T Mo · C W Chang 7 46.0 2-1/4
5 0 GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C H Yip 10 14.0 4-1/4
6 0 MOONLUCK Z Purton · T P Yung 5 4.0 4-1/4
7 0 BALLISTIC MAN B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 4 28.0 5-1/2
8 0 FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB R Maia · A T Millard 9 19.0 6-1/4
9 0 FORTUNE TRIPLE K Teetan · Y S Tsui 3 11.0 6-1/2
10 0 LOYAL AMBITION Led early V/TT Y L Chung · C Fownes 1 3.0 6-3/4
11 0 HANG'S CHOICE B/TT C L Chau · W Y So 11 29.0 8-3/4
12 0 SUCCESS ALLSTARS B V Borges · R Gibson 6 19.0 25-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-01 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. REGENCY MASTER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C S Shum, won by HD, with DAZZLING FELLOW second and SMILING FACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite LOYAL AMBITION finished 10th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. REGENCY MASTER—2. DAZZLING FELLOW+0.2L3. SMILING FACE+0.75L4. CABLE SPEED+2.25L5. GLORIOUS LOVER+4.25L6. MOONLUCK+4.25L7. BALLISTIC MAN+5.5L8. FORTUNE PATROL+6.25L9. FORTUNE TRIPLE+6.5L10. LOYAL AMBITION+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick LOYAL AMBITION (22.7%) finished 10th — the winner REGENCY MASTER was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LOYAL AMBITION 22.7% 4.41 10
2 0 MOONLUCK 19.7% 5.08 6
3 0 DAZZLING FELLOW 13.3% 7.49 2
4 0 FORTUNE TRIPLE 11.7% 8.53 9
5 0 REGENCY MASTER 5.7% 17.56 1
6 0 SUCCESS ALLSTARS 5.0% 19.80 12
7 0 GLORIOUS LOVER 4.8% 20.76 5
8 0 SMILING FACE 4.8% 20.99 3
9 0 CABLE SPEED 4.5% 22.37 4
10 0 HANG'S CHOICE 3.5% 28.70 11
11 0 FORTUNE PATROL 2.4% 41.13 8
12 0 BALLISTIC MAN 1.8% 54.21 7
LOYAL AMBITIONMOONLUCKDAZZLING FELLOWFORTUNE TRIPLEREGENCY MASTER — wonSUCCESS ALLSTARSGLORIOUS LOVERSMILING FACECABLE SPEEDHANG'S CHOICEFORTUNE PATROLBALLISTIC MAN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 206.5

PLACE

1 28

4 68

10 24

QUINELLA

1,4 1,078

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 246.5

1,10 104.5

4,10 262.5

FORECAST

4,1 3,091

TIERCE

4,1,10 17,759

TRIO

1,4,10 1,952

FIRST 4

1,4,10,12 14,890

QUARTET

4,1,10,12 525,269

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

1,2/1 40.5

1,2/4 908.5

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 28

A1 —