Happy Valley · 2023-02-01 · 19:47
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-01 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. E LEGEND, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with VILLA FIONN second and KUNG FU TEA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | E LEGEND Closed strongly 1.40.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 6 | 3.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | RAINBOW LIGHT B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | IRON WILL Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | PACKING MONKEYKING Closed strongly K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 11 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER Closed strongly H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 9 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 10 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | BABY Led early B/TT1 K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 4 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | ALL IS GOOD B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 4.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | HAPPY WON PC A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 7 | 22.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | LUCK STAR S De Sousa · T P Yung | S De Sousa | T P Yung | 5 | 14.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | E LEGEND | 20.0% | 5.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | ALL IS GOOD | 19.8% | 5.05 | 10 |
| 3 | 12 | LUCK STAR | 11.3% | 8.87 | 12 |
| 4 | 2 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 8.0% | 12.43 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 6.5% | 15.28 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | KUNG FU TEA | 6.4% | 15.73 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY WON | 5.9% | 17.09 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | BABY | 5.4% | 18.36 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | VILLA FIONN | 5.0% | 19.83 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | PACKING MONKEYKING | 4.6% | 21.84 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 3.8% | 26.18 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | IRON WILL | 3.3% | 30.71 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 32.5
PLACE
1 15
3 20.5
5 50.5
QUINELLA
1,3 137.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 53
1,5 115
3,5 182.5
FORECAST
1,3 275
TIERCE
1,3,5 2,206
TRIO
1,3,5 668
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 919
QUARTET
1,3,5,2 13,806
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,10/1,3,5 145,626
2ND DOUBLE
4/1 1,449
4/3 460.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 25
A2 —