Happy Valley · 2023-02-01 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly TT 1.40.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 9.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 3 | 4.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RIVER VIEWS H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 1 | 9.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 2 | 7.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | COPARTNER FIONN Closed strongly PC-/H/B1/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 4 | 9.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | PACKING SUCCEEDER Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 7 | 3.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET Closed strongly H/PC/XB K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 5 | 14.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly VO-/B2 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 20.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER EAGLE H2 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 68.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DREAM CATCHER Led early B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 122.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FIRE BALL A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 10 | 43.0 | 51 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-01 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CHILL CHIBI, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C S Shum, won by 2, with VIVA POPCORN second and LEGION OF MERIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite PACKING SUCCEEDER finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 22.7% | 4.40 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING SUCCEEDER | 19.7% | 5.07 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS | 11.2% | 8.94 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | COPARTNER FIONN | 8.8% | 11.41 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | RIVER VIEWS | 8.2% | 12.25 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN | 7.3% | 13.79 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | CHILL CHIBI | 6.4% | 15.73 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 5.0% | 19.88 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 4.8% | 20.90 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | FIRE BALL | 3.8% | 26.38 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER EAGLE | 1.4% | 69.52 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | DREAM CATCHER | 0.8% | 122.23 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 99.5
PLACE
2 29.5
4 32.5
6 17
QUINELLA
2,4 524.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 141.5
2,6 65.5
4,6 73
FORECAST
4,2 914
TIERCE
4,2,6 2,563
TRIO
2,4,6 423
FIRST 4
2,4,6,10 1,245
QUARTET
4,2,6,10 32,868
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 33.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/2 69
1/4 403