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Happy Valley · 2023-02-08 · 18:46

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1650m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.93
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FOXHUNTER WAY Closed strongly 1.39.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 3.2 SH
2 0 FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C H Yip 11 14.0 SH
3 0 FAITHFUL TRINITY B/TT V Borges · W Y So 5 27.0 2-1/4
4 0 CHARIZARD Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard 2 5.4 2-1/4
5 0 KARUIZAWA Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 10 114.0 3-3/4
6 0 SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 9 23.0 4-1/4
7 0 MEDIC ELITE PC/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng 12 7.8 4-1/2
8 0 AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly E/P M L Yeung · C Fownes 8 12.0 4-3/4
9 0 BRILLIANT EIGHT Led early B1 H N Wong · Y S Tsui 4 30.0 5
10 0 OUR CREED V A Badel · K H Ting 7 13.0 5-1/2
11 0 LUCKY MISSILE CP S De Sousa · D J Hall 3 5.1 8
12 0 ALL IS READY B/XB/H1 K C Leung · P F Yiu 6 19.0 18-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-08 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FOXHUNTER WAY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with FLASH FAMOUS second and FAITHFUL TRINITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FOXHUNTER WAY—2. FLASH FAMOUS+0.1L3. FAITHFUL TRINITY+2.25L4. CHARIZARD+2.25L5. KARUIZAWA+3.75L6. SUPER HORNET+4.25L7. MEDIC ELITE+4.5L8. AMAZING NEWS+4.75L9. BRILLIANT EIGHT+5L10. OUR CREED+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick FOXHUNTER WAY (25.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FOXHUNTER WAY 25.6% 3.90 1
2 0 AMAZING NEWS 12.1% 8.30 8
3 0 MEDIC ELITE 11.0% 9.05 7
4 0 CHARIZARD 10.4% 9.59 4
5 0 OUR CREED 8.4% 11.90 10
6 0 FLASH FAMOUS 7.6% 13.20 2
7 0 FAITHFUL TRINITY 6.5% 15.32 3
8 0 LUCKY MISSILE 5.6% 17.95 11
9 0 ALL IS READY 4.2% 24.01 12
10 0 SUPER HORNET 3.7% 27.07 6
11 0 BRILLIANT EIGHT 2.7% 37.35 9
12 0 KARUIZAWA 2.2% 44.99 5
FOXHUNTER WAY — wonAMAZING NEWSMEDIC ELITECHARIZARDOUR CREEDFLASH FAMOUSFAITHFUL TRINITYLUCKY MISSILEALL IS READYSUPER HORNETBRILLIANT EIGHTKARUIZAWA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 32.5

PLACE

2 33

10 62.5

12 16

QUINELLA

2,12 282.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,10 420

2,12 89

10,12 146

FORECAST

12,2 443

TIERCE

12,2,10 8,030

TRIO

2,10,12 1,829

FIRST 4

2,4,10,12 1,617

QUARTET

12,2,10,4 42,964

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 20