Happy Valley · 2023-02-08 · 18:46
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-08 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FOXHUNTER WAY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with FLASH FAMOUS second and FAITHFUL TRINITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY Closed strongly 1.39.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 3.2 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 11 | 14.0 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | FAITHFUL TRINITY B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 5 | 27.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 2 | 5.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | KARUIZAWA Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 114.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MEDIC ELITE PC/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 12 | 7.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly E/P M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 8 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | BRILLIANT EIGHT Led early B1 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | OUR CREED V A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 7 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | LUCKY MISSILE CP S De Sousa · D J Hall | S De Sousa | D J Hall | 3 | 5.1 | 8 |
| 12 | 1 | ALL IS READY B/XB/H1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 19.0 | 18-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 25.6% | 3.90 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | AMAZING NEWS | 12.1% | 8.30 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | MEDIC ELITE | 11.0% | 9.05 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | CHARIZARD | 10.4% | 9.59 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | OUR CREED | 8.4% | 11.90 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | FLASH FAMOUS | 7.6% | 13.20 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 6.5% | 15.32 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | LUCKY MISSILE | 5.6% | 17.95 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | ALL IS READY | 4.2% | 24.01 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPER HORNET | 3.7% | 27.07 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | BRILLIANT EIGHT | 2.7% | 37.35 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | KARUIZAWA | 2.2% | 44.99 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 32.5
PLACE
2 33
10 62.5
12 16
QUINELLA
2,12 282.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 420
2,12 89
10,12 146
FORECAST
12,2 443
TIERCE
12,2,10 8,030
TRIO
2,10,12 1,829
FIRST 4
2,4,10,12 1,617
QUARTET
12,2,10,4 42,964
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 20